From Analytics

NBA Film Study: The Stagger Twirl Action

How do great shooters get open when everyone in a 20,000-seat arena knows they are looking to snipe from three? Some are fantastic cutters, some are able to change direction quickly and others are simply low priorities for defenses based on their teammates. But in most instances, choreographed offense helps get them open in ways…

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Welcome to the NBA’s Overreaction Olympics

The NBA season tips off Tuesday, and that means we’re already in prime ‘Overreaction Olympics’ time—that early-season period where fans across the land see great or poor performances, isolated incidents and scoring runs only to blow them completely out of proportion, extrapolating an entire season out of them. That’s gonna happen in spades during the…

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Why Are NBA Analytics and Mid-Range Jumpers Fighting Each Other?

Twitter is an interesting world. The long-time debate regarding analytics informing shot selection jumped to the forefront once again on Tuesday, as two drastically different worlds chimed in from their respective camps. Matt Moore, (also known as Hardwood Paroxysm and a writer for the Action News Network), responded to a video debate about Zach LaVine…

The 2019-20 NBA Milestone Watch

When we discuss players’ legacies, we consider the totality of their careers. That includes things like All-Star appearances, championships and All-NBA nominations. It also includes the sum of their statistical achievements. And as the NBA has carved out its history, there are certain milestones that garner admittance into the Hall of Fame and/or help people…

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The Anatomy of an NBA Backdoor Set

If you’ve played youth basketball, you know how frequently coaches at any level bemoan getting beat with a basket cut. Hell, even if you’ve watched enough basketball, you probably notice a clear distaste for letting players go wherever they want. Defenders have the primary responsibility of preventing their opponent from getting open to a point…

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Why NBA Playcalling Matters: A Defensive Masterclass in Foiling ATO’s

Earlier this week, we published a piece on the surprising analytic findings surrounding after timeout (ATO) situations. The data points show a slight shift favoring the defenses in these situations, despite the offense having the opportunity to reset in a specific and patterned manner under the coach’s direction. Thus, it’s more difficult to score after…

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Does NBA Playcalling Matter? ATO Analytics Tell a Strange Story

Those who follow me on Twitter (shameless plug) are likely familiar with the affinity I have for X’s and O’s. Basketball’s set plays are an incredible form of human manipulation: leading an individual to do something they believe is in their best interest when it really isn’t. The best plays both target an individual to…

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Analytics Predict Positive Changes for These NBA Teams in 2019-20

Caution: The following includes overall plus-minus and lineup analytics to color optimism about the upcoming season. Put this power into the wrong hands and those conclusions can be drawn incorrectly. An over-emphasis on lineup statistics and metrics can lead to seeing players as the sole reason their lineups performed poorly, which is never the case.…

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