From Analytics

Analytics Predict Positive Changes for These NBA Teams in 2019-20

Caution: The following includes overall plus-minus and lineup analytics to color optimism about the upcoming season. Put this power into the wrong hands and those conclusions can be drawn incorrectly. An over-emphasis on lineup statistics and metrics can lead to seeing players as the sole reason their lineups performed poorly, which is never the case.…

Want ALL our amazing content? Subscribe to The Basketball Writers: Join Today

PODCAST: Seth Partnow on NBA Team-Building, Analytics

In this episode of The NBA Podcast, Bryan Toporek (@btoporek) and special guest Seth Partnow (@SethPartnow) of The Athletic discuss NBA team-building in the player-empowerment era and basketball analytics. Do teams need to shorten their planning windows with players on the move so frequently? How has the discourse around analytics changed over the years? Which…

Let’s Squash the Mid-Range Jumpers Debate, Shall We?

All the Denver Nuggets need is one stop to have a chance. The Portland Trail Blazers, on the other hand, need one more score to give themselves some breathing room. It’s amazing the Blazers are even in this game, much less leading. Damian Lillard has been flinging bricks all day, and his Blazers trailed by nearly…

Want ALL our amazing content? Subscribe to The Basketball Writers: Join Today

The Truth About NBA Playoff Lineups

The Hamptons Five—Steph Curry, Klay Thompson, Andre Iguodala, Kevin Durant, and Draymond Green—is the most prominently named lineup in NBA history, if not the only one that really deserved a name. Most five-man lineup combinations live anonymously and then die the same way, their fate sealed because there really was nothing special about the combination.…

Want ALL our amazing content? Subscribe to The Basketball Writers: Join Today

Be Careful About Your Favorite NBA Playoffs Argument

We’re in the playoffs, and that isn’t just the highlight of the NBA season, it’s peak fallacy season as well. The heightened meaning of each game’s outcome means more attention is put on every play, with results-driven narratives dominating the conversation. Context matters even more in the playoffs, however. Yet, nuance, rather than being the…

Want ALL our amazing content? Subscribe to The Basketball Writers: Join Today

Detroit Pistons Let You Shoot 3’s While They Win

The league’s best perimeter defense was being wasted by the Detroit Pistons. Impressive as their three-ball-killing was, it couldn’t compensate for sluggish, inefficient offense. So, they made a change: scrap the defense. And it’s working. By shifting the defensive focus from the perimeter to the interior—and the offensive focus from the interior to the perimeter—Detroit…

Want ALL our amazing content? Subscribe to The Basketball Writers: Join Today

How do we truly judge the value of an assist?

NBA Assists Are Everything and Almost Nothing

Assists are simultaneously one of the most important aspects of basketball, one of the most overrated stats and one of the most underrated. That’s right. They can mean virtually everything or almost nothing. I’ve been percolating on the idea of assists for years now, and how we could come up with a better version of them.…

Want ALL our amazing content? Subscribe to The Basketball Writers: Join Today

The Spurs and Raptors don't just beat you from outside.

Some Top-10 Offenses Succeed Without Emphasizing 3s

There’s more than one way to skin a muskrat, or so my Pop-Pop used to say. And as it is with semiaquatic rodents, it is with NBA scoring. Modern analytics encouraged teams to move away from mid-range shots entirely in favor of high-reward 3-balls. Indeed, the NBA’s current No. 1 record and best winning streak…

Want ALL our amazing content? Subscribe to The Basketball Writers: Join Today